This blog has previously discussed the March 15 proposed settlement by The National Association of Realtors (NAR) of four large antitrust suits involving buyers’ broker commissions. The monetary settlement was set at $418 million. The settlement also involves a new rule prohibiting offers of compensation to buyers’ brokers on the MLS.

There is movement in a related matter between the NAR and the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ). Last month, a District of Columbia Circuit Court of Appeals panel of judges reversed a lower court decision to set aside a 2021 investigative subpoena from the Antitrust Division of DOJ. That subpoena had been issued in a previously closed investigation into NAR commission policies.

This ruling effectively held that a case being previously closed does not prevent its being reopened, allowing the DOJ to continue its antitrust investigation.

Several news sources are reporting that in a status hearing in a Massachusetts case, the DOJ made its first public comment since the NAR settlement this week. An attorney for the DOJ apparently stated that the DOJ believes offers of compensation to buyers’ agents should not be made anywhere, and certainly not on the MLS.

This dirt lawyer does not have the legal ability to discuss the antitrust issues involved in this litigation. The speculation about how this settlement will ultimately affect the housing industry is widely varied among experts in several professions.

The impetus for the original complaints was to lower housing costs artificially inflated by commissions which seem to be set in stone at six percent. Some experts suggest that our housing market will be completely remodeled, with the end product being lower home prices.

Other experts suggest that buyers will be crippled by having to either forego the assistance of a real estate agent or by agreeing to pay commissions out of pocket. Some of these writers suggest that home prices will increase as a result of these machinations. I’ve even heard that only wealthy buyers will have broker representation.

I’ve seen several suggestions that home buying will remain virtually the same by use of several work arounds. But I’ve seen other experts suggest that the proposed work arounds may also violate antitrust laws.

Some suggest that buyers, sellers and real estate agents will simply negotiate commissions.

One thing that is not in question is that the settlement must be approved in court. The settlement suggests that the new rules will become effective in July, but settlements in these large cases often take months to approve, so I wouldn’t be surprised to see delays beyond this summer.

The industry may be in transition as all the experts digest the settlement and as we await court approval. There is no shortage of articles on the topic. I encourage dirt lawyers to keep their fingers on the pulse of these issues as the litigation dust settles. Any activity from the DOJ will be particularly noteworthy.